Stop Everything: The Crypto Market’s Most Critical Moment Since 2021

“The Weekly TBT Signal That Could Mark the Final Leg of the Bull Market”


🧭 Overview

The crypto market may be entering its final and most explosive phase of the bull run.
A rare technical signal — the TBT Bearish Divergence Cluster — has appeared on the Total Ex-Stables (TOTAL3) chart, the same one that flashed before the blow-off tops of April 2021 and January 2018.

This setup could mark the final Bitcoin surge toward $150,000 — and the beginning of the next great rotation into altcoins before a deeper correction begins.


🚨 The Signal: Why It Matters

The TBT Divergence Indicator, created by The Better Traders, identifies periods where price momentum diverges sharply from underlying strength indicators.

When multiple divergence points appear close together, they form a “yellow cluster flag.”
On higher timeframes (like the weekly chart), this is among the strongest warnings of potential exhaustion.

The last two times this signal printed:

  • April 2021: Preceded a 55% market correction.

  • January 2018: Preceded the start of the crypto winter.

Now, the same setup is printing again.


🟢 The Bullish Case — Bitcoin’s Last Push

Despite the warning, there’s still time for upside.
Aaron Disher from Coin Bureau Trading believes Bitcoin can still make a final surge toward $139,000–$150,000 before topping.

Why?

  • Divergences often precede, not follow, blow-off tops.

  • Bitcoin dominance remains high, leaving room for altcoin rotation once BTC peaks.

  • The market is fueled by momentum and optimism, with few top signals fully triggered yet.

In other words, this could be the calm before the mania.


📉 The Bearish Setup — Cracks Beneath the Surface

Three converging indicators are flashing red beneath the surface:

1. RSI Divergence

The Relative Strength Index shows lower highs since early 2024, while price keeps rising — a sign of weakening momentum.
This has lasted over 80 weeks, aligning with prior pre-top formations.

2. Volume Decline

Across exchanges, weekly trading volume is trending down — even as price pushes to new highs.
This mirrors late 2021, when capital inflows slowed even as prices soared.

3. TBT Cluster Confirmation

Multiple bearish divergences on the weekly TOTAL3 chart are clustering, creating the yellow flag.
Historically, these clusters appear right before trend exhaustion.


🧨 What’s Likely to Happen Next

Aaron’s base case scenario for the coming 6–10 weeks:

Phase Description Timing
1. Bitcoin Blow-Off BTC spikes to $139K–$150K; sentiment turns euphoric. Late Oct–Mid Nov
2. Altcoin Rotation BTC dominance falls; AI, RWA, and meme coins pump 100–300%. Nov–Mid Dec
3. Exhaustion & Reversal Liquidity dries up; BTC and alts retrace sharply. Dec–Jan
4. Post-Top Decline Bitcoin retraces 30–40%, alts 60–80%. Early 2026

This mirrors prior cycle behavior — but with less volatility and shorter timelines.


📊 Historical Parallels

Cycle Rally Max Gain Signal Timing Aftermath
2016–2018 13,500% Jan 2018 Cluster top 84% crash
2020–2021 675% Apr 2021 Cluster top 55% crash
2023–2025 ~400% Oct 2025 Cluster forming TBD

💡 The Lesson: Don’t Panic — Prepare

Aaron’s core message isn’t bearish.
It’s strategic:

“No one ever went broke taking profit.
Be satisfied with any amount. Protect your portfolio first.”

Whether the next move is a blow-off top or a false flag, the principle stays the same:

  • Scale out profits gradually.

  • Reduce leverage.

  • Avoid overexposure to illiquid altcoins.

  • Keep cash ready for the next cycle.

If the market rallies higher, great — you win.
If it corrects, you’re protected.


🔍 Quick Recap

Indicator Signal Implication
TBT Divergence Cluster Flashing on weekly TOTAL3 End-of-cycle warning
RSI Trend Lower highs since Mar 2024 Momentum fading
Volume Declining trend Buyer exhaustion
Bitcoin Target $150K Final leg of bull
Alts Late-stage pump Rotation then collapse

🧠 Final Thoughts

Markets peak when optimism blinds caution.
Right now, the charts whisper a truth that sentiment denies: we’re closer to the top than the beginning.

That doesn’t mean sell everything — it means play smart:

  • Secure profits.

  • Stay nimble.

  • Expect volatility.

And above all — remember Aaron’s closing words:

“If I’m wrong and prices go higher, everyone wins.
But if I’m right — only the prepared will keep their gains.”

Stay awesome. Stay in the green.

Crypto Rich
Crypto Rich ($RICH) CA: GfTtq35nXTBkKLrt1o6JtrN5gxxtzCeNqQpAFG7JiBq2

CryptoRich.io is a hub for bold crypto insights, high-conviction altcoin picks, and market-defying trading strategies – built for traders who don’t just ride the wave, but create it. It’s where meme culture meets smart money.

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